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LYV

Live Nation EntertainmentC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: a strong 2026 touring and festival calendar, higher ticketing margins, and limited regulatory disruption push the stock toward the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
Momentum
57
Value
49
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $172.55 · Bull $199.50 · Bear $136.35Analysis 2026-01-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $205.13
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d +6.0
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
  • • Regulatory action or settlement materially limiting Ticketmaster revenue or fees
  • • Bear case: softer consumer spending, adverse ticketing regulation, or material tour cancellations compress margins and drive valuation toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Ticketing / regulatory developments

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
+12.9
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-10.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 56.8 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 55.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$199.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$172.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$136.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$40.87B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
235.63M
P/E (TTM)
106.0
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
20.98
Rev YoY
+9.4%
EPS YoY
+157.5%
Gross Margin
+23.2%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
$3.3B
Current Ratio
0.85
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data