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LYV

Live Nation EntertainmentC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: a strong 2026 touring and festival calendar, higher ticketing margins, and limited regulatory disruption push the stock toward the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
What can break
Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
Momentum
43
Value
50
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $172.55 · Bull $199.50 · Bear $136.35Analysis 2026-01-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $204.46
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -22.2
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
  • • Regulatory action or settlement materially limiting Ticketmaster revenue or fees
  • • Bear case: softer consumer spending, adverse ticketing regulation, or material tour cancellations compress margins and drive valuation toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-27

Ticketing / regulatory developments

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.2
Δ21d
-15.8
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+9.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 42.8 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 64.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$199.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$172.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$136.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$43.46B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
235.63M
P/E (TTM)
106.0
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
20.98
Rev YoY
+9.4%
EPS YoY
+157.5%
Gross Margin
+23.2%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
$3.3B
Current Ratio
0.85
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data