AI Stock Memo: KNTK - Kinetik - RankAlpha

KNTK

Rating buyAI Memo

Kinetik

As of 2026-01-30/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Analyst target/coverage revisions after results • 2026-04-30

Expected move: -1%

Biggest risk

Bear case assumes weaker commodity prices, unexpected capex or distribution pressure, and downward analyst revisions that drive valuation toward low‑end targets [#SERP-2].

Invalidation

Break below $31 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, stable distribution coverage, and multiple expansion as risk premium narrows, producing higher utilization and re‑rating versus peers [#SERP-6].

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-01-30

Base target

$46

p=60%

Bull target

$66

p=20%

Bear target

$31

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

2025 year results / near-term earnings release
Energy commodity recovery supports cash flow
Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, stable distribution coverage, and multiple expansion as risk premium narrows, producing higher utilization and re‑rating versus peers [#SERP-6].

BearKey bullets

Higher-than-expected capex or maintenance pressuring distributions
Prolonged commodity price weakness reducing throughput and fee revenue
Refinancing or covenant stress from higher interest rates

WatchKey bullets

Analyst target/coverage revisions after results

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $46 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +42% / -34%

Vs latest close: Bull +42% · Base -1% · Bear -34%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $66 (p=20%)Base Target: $46 (p=60%)Bear Target: $31 (p=20%)

Commentary

Aggregator pages show a generally constructive median near $46 but wide high/low dispersion (low-$30s to mid-$60s), indicating mixed conviction. Near-term sentiment will track results and commodity trends [#SERP-1], [#SERP-3].

As of 2026-01-30 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, stable distribution coverage, and multiple expansion as risk premium narrows, producing higher utilization and re‑rating versus peers [#SERP-6].

Bear Case

Bear case assumes weaker commodity prices, unexpected capex or distribution pressure, and downward analyst revisions that drive valuation toward low‑end targets [#SERP-2].

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

2025 year results / near-term earnings release
Energy commodity recovery supports cash flow

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-30Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$46.23

Range (USD)

$31.00 - $66.44

Count

Query: Kinetik Holdings Inc Class A Common (KNTK) analyst consensus price target high low average

Kinetik Holdings Inc. Analyst Estimates - KNTK - MarketWatch
Search result #1
Stock Price Targets. High, $55.00. Median, $46.00. Low, $40.00. Average, $45.67. Current Price, $39.30. Yearly Numbers. Estimates. KNTK will report 2025 ...
Extracted: $55.00, $46.00, $40.00, $45.67, $39.30Open source
Kinetik Holdings Inc. KNTK Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #2
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) stock forecast and price target ; KNTK: Raising target price to $31.00. bearish. Rating: Maintained. Price ...
Extracted: $31.00Open source
Kinetik Holdings Analyst Ratings and Price Targets | NYSE:KNTK
Search result #3
Kinetik Holdings Inc has a consensus price target of $47.2 based on the ratings of 16 analysts. The high is $65 issued by JP Morgan on January 15, 2025.
Extracted: $47.20, $65.00Open source
Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Stock Price, Quote, News & Analysis
Search result #4
14 analysts have issued ratings. Wall Street analysts rate KNTK as Bullish on average, for a Wall Street consensus of buy. View KNTK's ratings here. 2 ...
Open source
KNTK - Kinetik Holdings Stock - Displayed [74 Analyst Price Targets]
Search result #5
Highest price target for KNTK is $65, Lowest price target is $40, average price target is $50.33. Most recent stock forecast was given by ELVIRA SCOTTO from RBC ...
Extracted: $65.00, $40.00, $50.33Open source
Kinetik Holdings Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy KNTK?
Search result #6
What is the 52-week high and low for Kinetik Holdings Inc. Stock? The 52-week high for Kinetik Holdings Inc. Stock is $66.44 and the 52-week low is $31.33.
Extracted: $66.44, $31.33Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$66 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$46 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$31 / p=20% prob

Price $47 as of 2026-05-28

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 1%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +42% · Base -1% · Bear -34%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-30
Analyst target/coverage revisions after results
Analysts and banks are likely to update models and targets after the 2025 results and any disclosed capex or asset actions; revisions may cluster in the quarter following results [#SERP-1], [#SERP-3].
Prob 30.00% • Move 12.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

2025 year results / near-term earnings release
2026-04-30
2025 results and guidance may reprice shares based on distribution coverage and growth visibility; aggregator previews noted [#SERP-1], [#SERP-3].
Prob 40% • Move 8% • Priced-in 25%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Energy commodity recovery supports cash flow
2027-01-30
Sustained natural gas/NGL price improvement would raise throughput and fee-based cash flow over the next year, improving dividend coverage and valuation [#SERP-6].
Prob 30% • Move 25% • Priced-in 10%

Risks

Higher-than-expected capex or maintenance pressuring distributions
Prolonged commodity price weakness reducing throughput and fee revenue
Refinancing or covenant stress from higher interest rates

Peers

Symbol	Summary
KMI	Large diversified pipeline operator; useful operational and contract comparability.
ET	Broad midstream footprint with distribution focus; comparable commodity and volume exposure.
WMB	Natural gas infrastructure and interstate pipeline exposure; similar sensitivity to throughput and regulation.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Kinetik Holdings Inc Class A Common (KNTK) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-30