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KNTK

KinetikD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, stable distribution coverage, and multiple expansion as risk premium narrows, producing higher utilization and re‑rating versus peers [#SERP-6].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Higher-than-expected capex or maintenance pressuring distributions
Momentum
67
Value
39
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $46.23 · Bull $66.44 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $57.35
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +5.4
Value39 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher-than-expected capex or maintenance pressuring distributions
  • • Prolonged commodity price weakness reducing throughput and fee revenue
  • • Bear case assumes weaker commodity prices, unexpected capex or distribution pressure, and downward analyst revisions that drive valuation toward low‑end targets [#SERP-2].

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Analyst target/coverage revisions after results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 67.3 / Value 38.6 / Sentiment 56.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$66.44
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$46.23
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.68B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
80.44M
P/E (TTM)
89.8
P/S (TTM)
3.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-18.18
Rev YoY
+50.1%
EPS YoY
+97.1%
Gross Margin
+15.2%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
$3.86B
Current Ratio
0.68
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data