AI Stock Memo: KN - Knowles - RankAlpha

KN

AI Memo

Knowles

As of 2026-02-08/Confidence medium/Horizon 3m

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

Key catalyst

Quarterly earnings release (Q4/FY) • 2026-05-09

Expected move: -30%

Biggest risk

Bear case: slower handset demand, prolonged pricing pressure on filters/MEMS, or execution delays in cost programs resulting in revenue and EBIT downside toward analyst lows.

Invalidation

Break below $22 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case: accelerated recovery in smartphone RF/filter orders, better-than-expected margin recovery from cost initiatives, and MEMS microphone content gains that push execution above consensus toward the analyst high.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-08

Base target

$25

p=60%

Bull target

$32

p=20%

Bear target

$22

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Near-term recovery in smartphone RF/filter demand
Cost-savings / margin improvement initiative
Bull case: accelerated recovery in smartphone RF/filter orders, better-than-expected margin recovery from cost initiatives, and MEMS microphone content gains that push execution above consensus toward the analyst high.

BearKey bullets

Execution delays on cost-savings initiatives
Price competition compressing filter/MEMS margins
Weak handset RF/filter demand

WatchKey bullets

Quarterly earnings release (Q4/FY)

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $25 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: -11% / -38%

Vs latest close: Bull -11% · Base -30% · Bear -38%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $32 (p=20%)Base Target: $25 (p=60%)Bear Target: $22 (p=20%)

Commentary

Sentiment is mixed and cautious: analyst targets cluster in the mid-to-low $20s while a subset target the low $30s, reflecting divergent views [#SERP-3][#SERP-4]. News and analyst notes emphasize valuation sensitivity and cyclicality, implying limited conviction absent positive guidance or design-win news [#SERP-1]. Given anchor 26.98 > base 24.74 (~-8.3% relative) and bear 21.90 (~-18.8%), we rate 'sell' for a 3-month horizon with 65.0% confidence due to the market price sitting above the consensus median and near-term cyclical risk.

As of 2026-02-08 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Bear case: slower handset demand, prolonged pricing pressure on filters/MEMS, or execution delays in cost programs resulting in revenue and EBIT downside toward analyst lows.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Near-term recovery in smartphone RF/filter demand
Cost-savings / margin improvement initiative

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-08Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$24.74

Range (USD)

$21.90 - $31.50

Count

Query: Knowles Corp Common (KN) analyst consensus price target high low average

Knowles Corporation (KN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History
Search result #1
KNOWLES CORP has an Investment Rating of HOLD; a target price of $26.000000; an Industry Subrating of High; a Management Subrating of Low; a Safety Subrating of ...
Extracted: $26.00Open source
Knowles Corporation: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #2
Knowles Corporation analysts consensus, targets, ratings and recommendations | Nyse: KN | Nyse. ... Evolution of the Average Target: Knowles Corporation ...
Open source
KNOWLES CORP (KN) Stock Analyst Ratings - Chartmill
Search result #3
12 analysts have analysed KN and the average price target is 27.03 USD. This implies a price increase of 12.91% is expected in the next year compared to the ...
Extracted: $27.03Open source
KN / Knowles Corporation (NYSE) - Forecast, Price Target ... - Fintel
Search result #4
The average one-year price target for Knowles Corporation is $27.03. The forecasts range from a low of $23.23 to a high of $31.50. To come up with their price ...
Extracted: $27.03, $23.23, $31.50Open source
KN | Knowles Corp. Analyst Estimates - MarketWatch
Search result #5
Stock Price Targets ; High, $30.00 ; Median, $26.50 ; Low, $23.00 ; Average, $26.50 ; Current Price, $21.90 ...
Extracted: $30.00, $26.50, $23.00, $21.90Open source
A Look At Knowles (KN) Valuation As Shares Trade Below Analyst ...
Search result #6
Knowles now trades at $24.74, with shares sitting around 7% below the average analyst price target and an internal model suggesting a 25% ...
Extracted: $24.74Open source2 days ago

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$32 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$25 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$22 / p=20% prob

Price $35 as of 2026-07-17

Nearest Scenario: Bull (∆ 11%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull -11% · Base -30% · Bear -38%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-05-09
Quarterly earnings release (Q4/FY)
Expected Q4/FY results release (no confirmed public date found); using conservative expected date per process assumptions. Results could drive guidance clarity and reorder cycles for RF filters and MEMS microphones [#SERP-1].
Prob 70.00% • Move 8.00% • Priced-in 50.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Near-term recovery in smartphone RF/filter demand
2026-05-09
Improvement in handset RF/filter demand could lift volumes and margins; timing uncertain so treated as a short-term catalyst estimated by process rule [#SERP-4].
Prob 40% • Move 15% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Cost-savings / margin improvement initiative
2027-02-08
Execution of restructuring or efficiency programs could expand margins over a longer horizon; date set one year out per process guideline when roadmap timing is unclear.
Prob 30% • Move 25% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Execution delays on cost-savings initiatives
Price competition compressing filter/MEMS margins
Weak handset RF/filter demand

Peers

Symbol	Summary
QRVO	RF front-end and filter supplier with larger handset exposure; useful comparator for RF-cycle sensitivity.
SWKS	Analog and RF semiconductor supplier active in mobile markets; comparable end-market exposure to Knowles' RF components.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Knowles Corp Common (KN) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-08