FLYE

AI Memo

Fly-E Group

As of 2026-02-13/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Liquidity / financing disclosure • 2026-04-30

Expected move: +60%

Biggest risk

Persistent thin liquidity, recurring dilution, or failure to scale commercial contracts compresses multiples and could push the price below $1 without strategic relief.

Invalidation

Break below $1 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Rapid commercial adoption or a strategic partnership lifts revenue visibility; limited float plus positive coverage could move shares toward the high analyst estimates.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-13

Base target

p=55%

Bull target

p=20%

Bear target

p=25%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Analyst coverage update
Micromobility commercialization success
Rapid commercial adoption or a strategic partnership lifts revenue visibility; limited float plus positive coverage could move shares toward the high analyst estimates.

BearKey bullets

Dilution risk from capital raises
Sparse analyst coverage and information gaps
Very thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads

WatchKey bullets

Liquidity / financing disclosure

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $3 (p=55%)

Bull/Bear spread: +231% / -34%

Vs latest close: Bull +231% · Base +60% · Bear -34%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $6 (p=20%)Base Target: $3 (p=55%)Bear Target: $1 (p=25%)

Commentary

Market tone is muted with sparse coverage and wide target dispersion. Retail-driven intraday moves and coverage gaps dominate price action; aggregator medians sit near current levels, supporting the base case.

As of 2026-02-13 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Rapid commercial adoption or a strategic partnership lifts revenue visibility; limited float plus positive coverage could move shares toward the high analyst estimates.

Bear Case

Persistent thin liquidity, recurring dilution, or failure to scale commercial contracts compresses multiples and could push the price below $1 without strategic relief.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Analyst coverage update
Micromobility commercialization success

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-13Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$2.78

Range (USD)

$2.34 - $5.00

Count

Query: Fly-E Group Inc Common (FLYE) analyst consensus price target high low average

FlyE (FLYE) Stock Forecast & Price Target - Investing.com
Search result #1
According to projections from 1 analysts, the average 12-month price target for FlyE is 7.00, with a high estimate of 7 and a low estimate of 7. What ...
Open source
Fly-E Group (FLYE) Stock Forecast & Price Target - MarketBeat
Search result #2
According to analysts, Fly-E Group's stock has a predicted downside of -100.00% based on their 12-month stock forecasts. What analysts cover Fly-E ...
Open source
Fly-e Group . Common Stock Stock Forecast - StockInvest.us
Search result #3
The 52-week high for Fly-e Group, Inc. Common Stock Stock is $21.70 and the 52-week low is $0.329.
Extracted: $21.70Open source
FLYE Stock Quote Price and Forecast - CNN
Search result #4
FLYE is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average. ... The price of FLYE shares has decreased $0.10 since the ...
Open source
Fly-E Group, Inc. (FLYE) Stock Price, News, Quote & History
Search result #5
Find the latest Fly-E Group, Inc. (FLYE) stock quote, history, news and other vital information to help you with your stock trading and investing.
Open source
Fly-E Group: FLYE Stock Price Quote & News | Robinhood
Search result #6
As of 2026-02-11, Fly-E Group(FLYE) stock has fluctuated between $2.60 and $3.72. The current price stands at $2.83, placing the stock +8.7% above today's low ...
Extracted: $2.60, $3.72, $2.83Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$6 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$3 / p=55% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$1 / p=25% prob

Price $2 as of 2026-05-28

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 34%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +231% · Base +60% · Bear -34%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-30
Liquidity / financing disclosure
An SEC filing or press release about financing, dilution, or a strategic partnership could trigger sharp moves; dated to a near-term update window.
Prob 30.00% • Move 60.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Analyst coverage update
2026-05-14
A coverage or 12-month note revision from one of the few covering analysts could reprice shares; conservatively estimated within ~90 days.
Prob 40% • Move 40% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Micromobility commercialization success
2027-02-13
Sustained revenue growth or completion of key commercial rollouts could materially re-rate the stock over a 12-month horizon.
Prob 30% • Move 120% • Priced-in 10%

Risks

Dilution risk from capital raises
Sparse analyst coverage and information gaps
Very thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads

Peers

Symbol	Summary
NIU	Established e-scooter/motorcycle OEM—useful comparator for demand and retail distribution.
GGR	Gogoro—relevant on battery-swap and partner rollout dynamics.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Fly-E Group Inc Common (FLYE) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-13

AI Stock Memo: FLYE - Fly-E Group - RankAlpha