B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FLYE
Fly-E GroupFNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
With equity value near $3.2 million at the July 8, 2026 anchor price, even modest stabilization could matter disproportionately: Fly-E still has operating stores, an online channel, and a rental/wholesale mix that showed growth in the April 2026 release. If the delayed FY2026 filing lands quickly without a worse-than-preannounced outcome, the stock could bounce from distressed levels.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Management said in the April 21, 2026 10-Q that there was substantial doubt about Fly-E’s ability to continue as a going concern. [#SEC-10Q-2026-04-21]
Momentum
35
Value
36
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.45 · Bull $2.45 · Bear $0.80Analysis 2026-07-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Management said in the April 21, 2026 10-Q that there was substantial doubt about Fly-E’s ability to continue as a going concern. [#SEC-10Q-2026-04-21]
- • The April 2026 earnings release tied weak retail sales to lithium-battery accident concerns in New York, lower consumer willingness to buy e-bikes, store closures, and discounting to reduce aged inventory. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-04-22]
- • The stronger read-through is still negative.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-15
Late FY2026 10-K should clarify whether provisional annual deterioration holds
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
38
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 35.4 / Value 36.2 / Sentiment 38.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.84M
Beta
-
Shares Out
1.63M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.2
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.07
Rev YoY
+42.1%
EPS YoY
-83.7%
Gross Margin
+23.9%
Op Margin
-33.8%
Net Debt
$10.52M
Current Ratio
2.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data