ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman)DNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Successful densification, automation and higher‑value services drive sustained margin expansion and multiple re‑rating; revenue growth outperforms consensus.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
China e‑commerce volume slowdown reducing parcel demand
Momentum
38
Value
62
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.92 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $18.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.30
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d +4.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
38
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
+18.4
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
42
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-12.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 38.4 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 42.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$18.17B
Beta
-0.18
Shares Out
560.38M
P/E (TTM)
14.3
P/S (TTM)
2.54
P/FCF (TTM)
11.44
Rev YoY
+28.2%
EPS YoY
+16.4%
Gross Margin
+24.9%
Op Margin
+21.9%
Net Debt
-$2.03B
Current Ratio
1.64
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology