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ZD

Ziff DavisD
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that the Connectivity sale closes on planned terms, capital is redeployed accretively, and the remaining portfolio stabilizes despite the weak Technology & Shopping quarter. Strength in Gaming & Entertainment, Health & Wellness, and Cybersecurity & Martech provides some evidence that the remaining asset base is not uniformly deteriorating.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Continuing-operations profitability weakened sharply in Q1 2026, with operating income down to $2.9 million and operating margin down to 1.1%, showing limited cushion if softer ad-linked categories persist. [#PR-2026-05-07]
Momentum
77
Value
70
Sentiment
29
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-05-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $64.40
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +5.0
Value70 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment29 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continuing-operations profitability weakened sharply in Q1 2026, with operating income down to $2.9 million and operating margin down to 1.1%, showing limited cushion if softer ad-linked categories persist. [#PR-2026-05-07]
  • • The Connectivity sale is subject to closing conditions and regulatory approvals, so timing or completion risk remains central to the thesis. [#IR-2026-03-03]
  • • The bear case is that the first clean continuing-operations quarter exposed real earnings pressure: revenue, operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS all declined, 2026 guidance remains deferred, and the company is still relying on a sale event rather than visible operating acceleration.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

First continuing-operations reset keeps near-term focus on margin recovery

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
29
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 77.1 / Value 69.6 / Sentiment 29.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.86B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
34.29M
P/E (TTM)
13.2
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
5.11
Rev YoY
-2.7%
EPS YoY
-518.3%
Gross Margin
+69.2%
Op Margin
+10.2%
Net Debt
$284.7M
Current Ratio
2.16
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data