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Full Truck AllianceA
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official release supports the operating thesis: fulfilled orders and shipper users grew double digits, transaction-service revenue rose 33.1%, operating income rose 30.4%, and operating cash flow reached RMB2.15 billion. [#IR-2026-08-19]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.3.
What can break
Direct digital-freight operating peers and reliable analyst target-revision coverage are limited.
Momentum
24
Value
60
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.40 · Bull $11.80 · Bear $7.20Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.69
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -23.8
Value60 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +8.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Direct digital-freight operating peers and reliable analyst target-revision coverage are limited.
  • • Electric-truck adoption remains constrained by range, charging infrastructure, and payload limitations in long-haul operations. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
  • • Q3 guidance implies approximately flat year-over-year revenue at the midpoint, while freight brokerage revenue declined and management continues to face fuel, demand, mix, and execution risks.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-19

Q2 earnings and Q3 guidance confirmed by company IR

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.8
Δ21d
-24.9
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.3
Δ21d
-2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 24.2 / Value 59.6 / Sentiment 80.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.17B
Beta
0.22
Shares Out
932.51M
P/E (TTM)
21.2
P/S (TTM)
6.75
P/FCF (TTM)
45.98
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+13.6%
Gross Margin
+65.8%
Op Margin
+33.6%
Net Debt
-$2.45B
Current Ratio
7.96
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data