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Full Truck AllianceA
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue exceeded the company's prior outlook, while transaction-service revenue grew 33.1% and operating income grew 30.4%. Continued monetization could outweigh slower brokerage revenue.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
What can break
China freight demand, regulation and competition remain material risks; the packet provides limited independent forward-looking coverage.
Momentum
72
Value
60
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.50 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $6.20Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.61
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -15.3
Value60 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +6.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • China freight demand, regulation and competition remain material risks; the packet provides limited independent forward-looking coverage.
  • • Q2 freight-brokerage revenue declined as transaction volume fell, and credit-solutions weakness reduced value-added-services revenue. [#IR-2026-08-19]
  • • Q3 guidance implies roughly flat year-over-year revenue; Q2 freight-brokerage and credit-solutions revenues fell.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Quarterly ADS dividend

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.3
Δ21d
+32.8
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.2
Δ21d
-4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 72.3 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 62.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$8.38B
Beta
0.22
Shares Out
932.51M
P/E (TTM)
21.2
P/S (TTM)
6.75
P/FCF (TTM)
45.98
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+13.6%
Gross Margin
+65.8%
Op Margin
+33.6%
Net Debt
-$2.45B
Current Ratio
7.96
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data