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XPRO

ExproB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 generated $393 million of revenue, $76 million of adjusted EBITDA and $56 million of adjusted free cash flow. Meeting the stated second-half margin outlook would support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
What can break
Enhanced Drilling integration and project timing create execution risk.
Momentum
32
Value
59
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d +16.0
Value59 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Enhanced Drilling integration and project timing create execution risk.
  • • Middle East disruption and delayed Coretrax activity threaten second-half margin targets. Expro Q2 release
  • • Middle East disruption has already reduced expected Coretrax contributions.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Verify Q3 results against company guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
32
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.0
Δ21d
+5.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-10.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 31.6 / Value 59.0 / Sentiment 59.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.9B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
112.35M
P/E (TTM)
24.0
P/S (TTM)
0.98
P/FCF (TTM)
12.74
Rev YoY
-7.0%
EPS YoY
-88.6%
Gross Margin
+10.1%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
-$28.96M
Current Ratio
2.05
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data