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XNET

XunleiB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Subscription revenue grew 22.6% and live-streaming and other services revenue grew 54.8% year over year in Q2. Sustained growth with better cost control could improve profitability.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.
What can break
Higher operating expenses, including marketing and litigation provisions, contributed to the Q2 operating loss. [#PR-2026-08-13] Company earnings release
Momentum
9
Value
67
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.90 · Bull $4.80 · Bear $2.90Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d -29.6
Value67 · Δ7d +4.6
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher operating expenses, including marketing and litigation provisions, contributed to the Q2 operating loss. [#PR-2026-08-13] Company earnings release
  • • Live-streaming revenue-sharing costs and business mix compressed Q2 gross margin. [#PR-2026-08-13] Company earnings release
  • • Q2 operating results shifted to a $4.8 million loss, gross margin contracted, and cash plus short-term investments fell from $303.6 million at March 31 to $276.9 million at June 30.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Test whether consumer revenue growth converts to profit

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
9
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-29.6
Δ21d
-18.4
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+7.4
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-19.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 9.4 / Value 66.7 / Sentiment 55.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$3.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$244.76M
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
63.74M
P/E (TTM)
0.4
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM)
21.23
Rev YoY
+38.5%
EPS YoY
-129.8%
Gross Margin
+50.6%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
-$227.82M
Current Ratio
2.03
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data