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WYNN

Wynn ResortsA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 growth at Wynn Palace and the planned September 2027 Al Marjan opening support a positive longer-term case. The company release confirms the operating growth and project target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.
What can break
Al Marjan construction, financing and post-opening ramp-up could diverge from the September 2027 target. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
14
Value
61
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $122.25
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d +1.9
Value61 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +4.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Al Marjan construction, financing and post-opening ramp-up could diverge from the September 2027 target. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Las Vegas Q2 adjusted property EBITDAR declined $19.6 million year over year despite a monthly May record. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Q2 EBITDAR fell in Las Vegas, Boston and Wynn Macau despite consolidated growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Mixed Q2 operating results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-5.1
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
72
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
-3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.8 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 72.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.49B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
102.97M
P/E (TTM)
25.3
P/S (TTM)
1.75
P/FCF (TTM)
22.21
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
+106.7%
Gross Margin
+32.1%
Op Margin
+16.3%
Net Debt
$10.23B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data