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WTW

Willis Towers Watson PublicA
Nasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings beat, durable organic growth, margin expansion, strong Risk & Broking performance, and potential Propel savings support a constructive medium-term view. Management commentary indicates continued capital returns and operating leverage.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Career growth was flat and management cited weaker Middle East project activity amid ongoing conflict. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
Momentum
83
Value
50
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
7 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $375.00 · Bull $410.00 · Bear $305.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $382.35
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +2.0
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +10.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Career growth was flat and management cited weaker Middle East project activity amid ongoing conflict. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
  • • No post-print analyst target changes, rating changes, or estimate revisions were identified in the supplied evidence.
  • • Propel requires substantial upfront investment and its meaningful benefits are expected mainly in 2027-2028.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-14

Q2 earnings beat with margin expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-2.7
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.7
Δ21d
+3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 82.9 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 74.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$410.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$375.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$305.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$30.28B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
92.87M
P/E (TTM)
15.7
P/S (TTM)
3.27
P/FCF (TTM)
31.32
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-26.4%
Gross Margin
+81.2%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$3.71B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data