B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$410.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WTW
Willis Towers Watson PublicCNasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings beat, durable organic growth, margin expansion, strong Risk & Broking performance, and potential Propel savings support a constructive medium-term view. Management commentary indicates continued capital returns and operating leverage.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Career growth was flat and management cited weaker Middle East project activity amid ongoing conflict. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
Momentum
44
Value
50
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $375.00 · Bull $410.00 · Bear $305.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $371.70
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +3.3
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -2.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Career growth was flat and management cited weaker Middle East project activity amid ongoing conflict. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
- • No post-print analyst target changes, rating changes, or estimate revisions were identified in the supplied evidence.
- • Propel requires substantial upfront investment and its meaningful benefits are expected mainly in 2027-2028.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
Q2 earnings beat with margin expansion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+9.9
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-9.4
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-28.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 44.0 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 63.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$375.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$305.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$30.18B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
92.87M
P/E (TTM)
15.7
P/S (TTM)
3.27
P/FCF (TTM)
31.32
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
-26.4%
Gross Margin
+81.2%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$3.71B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data