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WRB

W R BerkleyC
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pricing tailwinds, better-than-expected combined ratios, and improved investment income drive multiple expansion toward analyst highs.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Catastrophe losses or elevated reserve strengthening
Momentum
29
Value
53
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $73.00 · Bull $89.11 · Bear $53.47Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $69.76
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +0.9
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Catastrophe losses or elevated reserve strengthening
  • • Investment yield and market volatility impact on earnings
  • • Reserve deterioration or large catastrophes compress earnings and push valuation toward analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-08

Next quarterly earnings release (assumed window end)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-6.4
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 28.6 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$89.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$53.47
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.89B
Beta
0.37
Shares Out
371.23M
P/E (TTM)
14.9
P/S (TTM)
1.85
P/FCF (TTM)
9.57
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+15.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$560.24M
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data