B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WRB
W R BerkleyCNYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 Insurance underwriting income grew 10.6%, operating EPS rose 6.4% year over year, and fixed-maturity investment income benefited from higher reinvestment yields. Those drivers could sustain returns despite slower premium growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Catastrophe losses, long-tail claim development and reserve-estimation uncertainty could worsen the combined ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-19]
Momentum
75
Value
52
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $74.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $63.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $69.41
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -2.4
Value52 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Catastrophe losses, long-tail claim development and reserve-estimation uncertainty could worsen the combined ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-19]
- • Investment-income support depends partly on reinvestment yields; lower rates or portfolio losses could weaken that contribution. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-19]
- • Revenue missed pre-report consensus, net EPS fell to $1.14 from $1.28 a year earlier, and average rate increases moderated.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-19
Mixed Q3 result and divided analyst revisions
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
+15.4
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-15.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 74.7 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 53.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$74.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$27.39B
Beta
0.37
Shares Out
371.23M
P/E (TTM)
14.9
P/S (TTM)
1.85
P/FCF (TTM)
9.57
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
+15.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$560.24M
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data