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WPM

Wheaton Precious MetalsC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Wheaton leverages low-cost streaming/royalty cash flows, expected portfolio growth to ~1.2M GEO by 2030, and disciplined capital allocation (dividends/buybacks) leading to multiple re-rating toward high-teens/low-20s P/FFO and a material upside to the anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adverse capital-allocation decisions (dilutive deals)
Momentum
96
Value
41
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $145.00 · Bull $200.00 · Bear $110.00Analysis 2026-04-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $172.43
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -1.5
Value41 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse capital-allocation decisions (dilutive deals)
  • • Commodity-price volatility (gold/silver) reducing realized cash flow
  • • Slower-than-expected delivery on contracted volume growth, adverse commodity prices, or weaker capital-allocation outcomes (dilutive M&A or lower buybacks) could compress multiples and leave shares below current levels.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-12

Publication of 2025 annual results (record revenue, earnings, cash flow)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+15.6
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.9
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-19.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 96.4 / Value 40.8 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$62.03B
Beta
0.52
Shares Out
454.16M
P/E (TTM)
54.9
P/S (TTM)
29.97
P/FCF (TTM)
104.72
Rev YoY
+84.7%
EPS YoY
+85.8%
Gross Margin
+75.2%
Op Margin
+73.0%
Net Debt
-$1.15B
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data