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WMS

Advanced DrainageB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Organic sales growth, price-cost discipline and NDS contribution supported strong fiscal Q1 earnings. If volume holds after the pre-price-increase pull-forward, WMS could sustain the margins needed to meet its confirmed fiscal 2027 targets.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Current peer metrics, analyst revisions and a clean earnings-attributable price reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
46
Value
62
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $143.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $100.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $181.73
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +4.5
Value62 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Current peer metrics, analyst revisions and a clean earnings-attributable price reaction are unavailable.
  • • Fiscal 2027 guidance was confirmed rather than increased despite a strong first quarter. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Management cautioned on demand and identified purchases pulled forward from fiscal Q2.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Fiscal Q1 growth and margin expansion, with guidance unchanged

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+11.5
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 46.5 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 61.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$143.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.83B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
75.41M
P/E (TTM)
25.9
P/S (TTM)
3.95
P/FCF (TTM)
24.78
Rev YoY
+20.6%
EPS YoY
+18.8%
Gross Margin
+35.3%
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$1.62B
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data