WMS

Advanced DrainageC

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The quarter confirmed a resilient mix shift: Q4 sales rose 9.9%, adjusted EBITDA increased 6.4%, FY2026 operating cash flow reached $819.1M, and FY2027 guidance still points to growth even with caution. If NDS integration and higher-margin product mix hold, ADS can work back toward the $197.2 median target.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.5.

What can break

Management flagged geopolitical uncertainty, elevated rates, and slower residential construction as key demand headwinds for FY2027.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $190.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $110.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $197.20

Why

Momentum14 · Δ7d -4.4

Value62 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment85 · Δ7d +17.5

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.4

Δ21d

-11.5

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.8

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+17.5

Δ21d

+22.1

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 14.3 / Value 62.4 / Sentiment 85.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$10.39B

Beta

1.33

Shares Out

82.85M

P/E (TTM)

25.9

P/S (TTM)

3.95

P/FCF (TTM)

24.78

Rev YoY

+8.7%

EPS YoY

+19.4%

Gross Margin

+38.1%

Op Margin

+22.5%

Net Debt

$962.35M

Current Ratio

3.48

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology