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WMS

Advanced DrainageA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q1 revenue growth, organic expansion, margin leverage, disciplined capital allocation, and positive NDS contribution support a moderately positive medium-term view. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, options positioning, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
33
Value
62
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $150.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $115.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $183.92
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d -9.2
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, options positioning, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
  • • Demand may soften after customer purchases ahead of pricing actions.
  • • Management remains cautious on demand, residential construction has slowed, and some Q1 volume reflected purchases ahead of pricing actions.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q1 FY2027 results showed strong growth and margin expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.2
Δ21d
+2.2
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-0.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 33.1 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 77.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.16B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
75.41M
P/E (TTM)
25.9
P/S (TTM)
3.95
P/FCF (TTM)
24.78
Rev YoY
+20.6%
EPS YoY
+18.8%
Gross Margin
+35.3%
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$1.62B
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data