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WGO

Winnebago IndustriesB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Motorhome profitability, lower operating expenses, fiscal 2026 operating cash flow of $168.7 million and year-end net leverage of 2.2x support a recovery case if fiscal 2027 guidance holds. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] SEC earnings exhibit
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.
What can break
Manufacturing-footprint savings may arrive more slowly than anticipated, while fiscal 2027 guidance remains sensitive to trade policy and consumer demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
34
Value
62
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $21.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.00
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d +15.4
Value62 · Δ7d -2.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -15.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Manufacturing-footprint savings may arrive more slowly than anticipated, while fiscal 2027 guidance remains sensitive to trade policy and consumer demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Persistently weak RV retail demand, dealer caution and financing or fuel costs could undermine management's fiscal 2027 shipment assumptions. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Q4 revenue missed the approximately $660 million estimate reported by Benzinga, and Towable RV Q4 operating margin fell to 4.2% from 7.0%.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Post-earnings gains face mixed analyst revisions

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.4
Δ21d
+15.3
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-2.1
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.2
Δ21d
-25.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 34.3 / Value 62.2 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$799.57M
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
28.44M
P/E (TTM)
30.9
P/S (TTM)
0.39
P/FCF (TTM)
11.64
Rev YoY
-9.9%
EPS YoY
-18.1%
Gross Margin
+12.2%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$421.4M
Current Ratio
2.37
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data