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WFRD

Weatherford InternationalB
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 adjusted EBITDA rose 14% sequentially to $254 million and adjusted free cash flow reached $155 million despite Middle East disruption. Management raised its full-year free-cash-flow conversion outlook to the high-40% range.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.
What can break
Collections from Weatherford's largest Mexico customer remain a major variable in quarterly free cash flow. Weatherford Q3 earnings-call transcript
Momentum
21
Value
61
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $89.00 · Bull $104.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $114.00
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d -2.3
Value61 · Δ7d -2.4
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Collections from Weatherford's largest Mexico customer remain a major variable in quarterly free cash flow. Weatherford Q3 earnings-call transcript
  • • Middle East conflict-related disruption persists; management did not assume a regional activity recovery in its near-term outlook. Weatherford Q3 earnings-call transcript
  • • Revenue remained 7% below a year earlier; Middle East activity has not normalized, and management said its narrowed full-year EBITDA guidance midpoint was slightly below July's.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

2030 notes redemption

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
21
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-5.0
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-34.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 20.7 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 58.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$89.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$6.42B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
72.47M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
1.28
P/FCF (TTM)
20.50
Rev YoY
-8.2%
EPS YoY
-71.2%
Gross Margin
+29.2%
Op Margin
+14.4%
Net Debt
$600M
Current Ratio
2.34
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data