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Westrock CoffeeD
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
2025 showed real top-line and EBITDA improvement, Conway scale-up costs stepped down in Q4, and the updated 2026 EBITDA outlook implies meaningful incremental earnings power if volume and mix keep improving.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
What can break
Customer volume disruption tied to industry consolidation and the pending acquisition of a newer single-serve customer by a competitor.
Momentum
72
Value
38
Sentiment
39
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.40 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-04-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.00
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d 0.0
Value38 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment39 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer volume disruption tied to industry consolidation and the pending acquisition of a newer single-serve customer by a competitor.
  • • Leverage and covenant pressure remain material if cash conversion lags EBITDA growth.
  • • The company still carries heavy leverage, high interest expense, negative operating cash flow, and explicit customer-volume risk tied to industry consolidation, so a small execution miss can overwhelm the EBITDA growth story.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-08

Q1 2026 check on Conway mix and customer retention

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-11.4
Value
38
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
39
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
+10.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 72.1 / Value 38.1 / Sentiment 38.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$810.31M
Beta
0.47
Shares Out
97.63M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.8
P/S (TTM)
0.36
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-49.20
Rev YoY
+8.8%
EPS YoY
-38.7%
Gross Margin
+12.2%
Op Margin
-0.5%
Net Debt
$515.48M
Current Ratio
0.97
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data