B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WERN
Werner EnterprisesDNasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 finally showed tangible operating repair: Dedicated scale expanded with FirstFleet, One-Way pricing inflected positive, operating margin turned positive, and operating cash flow improved sharply. Sparse post-print coverage also suggested some upward estimate/target revisions after earnings, which is directionally supportive even if coverage breadth is limited.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Analyst revision visibility is limited, which lowers confidence that the initial post-earnings stock move reflects a broad change in Street expectations.
Momentum
60
Value
53
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.20
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +23.0
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision visibility is limited, which lowers confidence that the initial post-earnings stock move reflects a broad change in Street expectations.
- • The turnaround still leans on management's expectation that market conditions tighten through 2026; a softer rate environment would pressure the One-Way recovery.
- • The bear read is that net income remained negative, Werner Logistics posted a wider loss, debt rose following FirstFleet, and the quarter still depends on management's claim that freight conditions tighten later in 2026.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 print improved earnings and triggered a positive initial re-rating
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.0
Δ21d
+48.5
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+5.5
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-2.9
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 59.5 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 50.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.35B
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
59.98M
P/E (TTM)
78.9
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
119.90
Rev YoY
+24.0%
EPS YoY
-85.4%
Gross Margin
+4.1%
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
$734M
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data