B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WELL
WelltowerDNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings company evidence is constructive: stronger SHO occupancy and RevPOR drove 22.1% SHO SSNOI growth, normalized FFO rose 23%, and full-year normalized FFO guidance moved higher immediately after Q1 [#8-K-EX99.1-2026-04-28].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
High valuation leaves limited room for disappointment after a guidance raise in a high-coverage REIT.
Momentum
73
Value
56
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $228.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $190.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $263.68
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -0.9
Value56 · Δ7d -
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +7.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • High valuation leaves limited room for disappointment after a guidance raise in a high-coverage REIT.
- • REIT capital-market sensitivity remains relevant despite strong liquidity, especially if rates, financing costs, cap rates, or property transaction conditions worsen.
- • The stock already trades close to the packet's published median target and depends on sustained execution across a large acquisition and capital deployment slate.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-28
Q1 earnings beat-and-raise is confirmed in SEC-filed release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+3.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 72.9 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 47.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$228.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$169.59B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
720.75M
P/E (TTM)
138.9
P/S (TTM)
12.80
P/FCF (TTM)
126.79
Rev YoY
+39.0%
EPS YoY
+12.0%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+5.3%
Net Debt
$16.17B
Current Ratio
13.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data