B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WDFC
WD-40BNasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 demonstrated unusually strong operating leverage: maintenance products grew 26%, gross margin reached 56.6%, and growth was broad across geographies, distribution and e-commerce. Continued execution against distribution, Specialist and premiumization initiatives could support the deterministic positive return prior.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.8.
What can break
Americas homecare and cleaning brands are no longer being actively marketed, and HCCP sales declined 17% year over year, although HCCP represented only 3% of Q3 sales. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-09]
Momentum
25
Value
43
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $228.00 · Bull $250.00 · Bear $188.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $271.67
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +1.7
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d -14.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Americas homecare and cleaning brands are no longer being actively marketed, and HCCP sales declined 17% year over year, although HCCP represented only 3% of Q3 sales. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-09]
- • Analyst target count, options data, short interest, employee sentiment and social coverage were unavailable; peer comparisons are therefore loose.
- • The Q3 result may include customer inventory builds and advanced buying, while HCCP sales declined 17% and management expects most pricing and cost-saving benefits in FY27.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-02
Strong Q3 FY26 earnings execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-6.4
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.8
Δ21d
-13.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 25.1 / Value 42.7 / Sentiment 80.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$228.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$188.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.07B
Beta
0.17
Shares Out
13.42M
P/E (TTM)
29.3
P/S (TTM)
4.27
P/FCF (TTM)
79.86
Rev YoY
+24.3%
EPS YoY
+44.9%
Gross Margin
+54.7%
Op Margin
+17.5%
Net Debt
$39.57M
Current Ratio
2.65
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data