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WDAY

WorkdayC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The prior positive thesis rests on execution of Workday's previously communicated outlook, discretionary buybacks and eventual AI-product monetization. September 29's filing reiterates prior guidance apart from GAAP margin; the new credit facility adds undrawn liquidity, not growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Direct competition from Oracle and SAP in financial-management and HCM applications. [#REL-e983c921-d7d3-4f95-be92-8e792bd9ca82] [#REL-d5bcedc5-30d2-4e35-9327-d034d5d6a4d7]
Momentum
78
Value
55
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $202.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $155.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $210.38
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +7.2
Value55 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -10.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Direct competition from Oracle and SAP in financial-management and HCM applications. [#REL-e983c921-d7d3-4f95-be92-8e792bd9ca82] [#REL-d5bcedc5-30d2-4e35-9327-d034d5d6a4d7]
  • • Execution risk from a reduction of about 2.5% of the workforce, primarily in Product and Technology. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-29]
  • • A product-and-technology workforce reduction may disrupt delivery, while the $65 million–$80 million restructuring charge lowers near-term GAAP margin.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-02

New undrawn revolving-credit capacity

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
+9.1
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.2
Δ21d
-20.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 78.0 / Value 55.4 / Sentiment 48.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$202.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$50.61B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
241M
P/E (TTM)
74.0
P/S (TTM)
5.95
P/FCF (TTM)
21.25
Rev YoY
+14.3%
EPS YoY
+246.9%
Gross Margin
+75.8%
Op Margin
+12.3%
Net Debt
-$1.63B
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data