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WDAY

WorkdayA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print supports a constructive view: subscription revenue grew 13.9%, 12-month subscription backlog grew 14.2%, AI drove more than 25% of new ACV, agent usage exceeded 5,500 customers, and management raised full-year margin guidance to 31.0%.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
A 10% owner reported multiple open-market sales on September 1 totaling approximately $18.9 million; this is a sentiment and supply signal, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03]
Momentum
90
Value
56
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $210.00 · Bull $240.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $211.14
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -1.6
Value56 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +15.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A 10% owner reported multiple open-market sales on September 1 totaling approximately $18.9 million; this is a sentiment and supply signal, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03]
  • • AI adoption and partner integrations have disclosed product traction but no quantified incremental revenue or margin contribution.
  • • The main risks are slower cash generation, execution risk in converting AI usage into durable subscription growth, competitive pressure from Oracle and SAP, and the possibility that the strong Q2 AI narrative is already reflected in valuation.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Buyback support

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-5.0
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.2
Δ21d
+63.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 89.8 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 78.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$47.22B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
247M
P/E (TTM)
74.0
P/S (TTM)
5.95
P/FCF (TTM)
21.25
Rev YoY
+14.3%
EPS YoY
+246.9%
Gross Margin
+75.8%
Op Margin
+12.3%
Net Debt
-$1.63B
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data