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WBX

WallboxD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If the court sanctions the signed restructuring, interim financing bridges to a more durable capital structure, and Wallbox sustains the Q4 2025 gross-margin/opex improvements, the equity can re-rate from distressed levels as near-term solvency risk falls. [#6K-2026-04-08] [#PR-2026-03-04]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Continued operating losses overwhelm the balance-sheet reset
Momentum
68
Value
34
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.70 · Bull $4.40 · Bear $1.00Analysis 2026-04-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.07
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Continued operating losses overwhelm the balance-sheet reset
  • NYSE cure plan is rejected or compliance is not regained within the allowed period
  • This remains a financing-led story: court sanction is still pending, the new-money guarantee and additional equity are not fully locked, dilution from the capital increase and warrants is material, and the NYSE compliance issue adds a separate overhang.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-13

NYSE compliance-plan response could reduce or deepen the listing overhang

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
38
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 67.8 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 37.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$74.1M
Beta
2.02
Shares Out
24.7M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.2
P/S (TTM)
0.23
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-5.04
Rev YoY
-17.4%
EPS YoY
+68.7%
Gross Margin
-16.3%
Op Margin
-45.7%
Net Debt
$221.21M
Current Ratio
0.57
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data