RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

WB

WeiboA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 revenue of $453.8 million exceeded the $442.44 million consensus reported by Investing.com, and adjusted EPS of $0.38 exceeded its $0.36 estimate. Membership growth and stronger internet-service and automobile advertising offer offsets to weaker categories, but durable margin recovery remains unproven.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Advertising demand weakened in handset and online-game categories; advertising revenue declined 6% year over year on a constant-currency basis. [#PR-2026-08-19] Weibo Q2 results
Momentum
27
Value
71
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.40 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $4.80Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.15
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -4.3
Value71 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +7.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advertising demand weakened in handset and online-game categories; advertising revenue declined 6% year over year on a constant-currency basis. [#PR-2026-08-19] Weibo Q2 results
  • • China regulatory and advertising-competition risks remain material, and quantified forward guidance was not established from the checked release. [#PR-2026-08-19] Weibo Q2 results
  • • The beat did not resolve weaker profitability: Q2 GAAP net income attributable to shareholders fell to $67.4 million from $125.7 million, while non-GAAP operating margin fell to 28% from 36%.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Advertising and margin follow-through

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
27
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
+5.8
Value
71
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 27.4 / Value 71.5 / Sentiment 63.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.49B
Beta
0.16
Shares Out
157.85M
P/E (TTM)
6.1
P/S (TTM)
1.48
P/FCF (TTM)
6.70
Rev YoY
+1.8%
EPS YoY
-47.1%
Gross Margin
+73.4%
Op Margin
+24.5%
Net Debt
-$499.14M
Current Ratio
3.59
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data