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VTOL

Bristow GroupB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sequential improvement, strong OES margins, affirmed EBITDA guidance, and Berry Aviation could support a re-rating if government-services execution improves.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.7.
What can break
Berry Aviation integration and the $105 million cash acquisition could add execution and capital-allocation risk.
Momentum
31
Value
48
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $62.50 · Bear $37.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $62.50
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -1.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +12.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Berry Aviation integration and the $105 million cash acquisition could add execution and capital-allocation risk.
  • • Government Services transition costs and fuel pass-through timing may continue to offset revenue growth.
  • • Government Services profitability weakened despite higher revenue, with supply-chain penalties, fuel-cost timing, and transition expenses still pressuring execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 results improved sequentially while 2026 EBITDA guidance was affirmed

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-29.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-11.1
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.7
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.8 / Value 48.1 / Sentiment 79.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.37B
Beta
1.38
Shares Out
29.64M
P/E (TTM)
8.1
P/S (TTM)
0.76
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-33.20
Rev YoY
+9.4%
EPS YoY
-33.9%
Gross Margin
+19.9%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$619.41M
Current Ratio
2.26
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data