B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VSTS
VestisFNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The constructive read is that Q1 showed sequential EBITDA improvement, better plant productivity and cash conversion, while management still reaffirmed full-year revenue, EBITDA and free-cash-flow guidance. If May 12 results show another sequential EBITDA step-up with stable liquidity, sentiment could improve from a monitoring stance.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Leverage remains elevated, with Q1 net leverage at 4.83x, leaving less room for operational misses if margin or cash conversion slips.
Momentum
27
Value
58
Sentiment
20
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.50 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $6.50Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.00
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d +8.3
Value58 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment20 · Δ7d -6.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Leverage remains elevated, with Q1 net leverage at 4.83x, leaving less room for operational misses if margin or cash conversion slips.
- • Low coverage and a weak peer set reduce confidence in relative-valuation conclusions and make monitoring fresh company disclosures more important than peer read-throughs.
- • The cautious read is that there is still no confirmed Q2 earnings release as of May 3, 2026 despite the follow-up trigger, leaving the thesis dependent on old Q1 evidence.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-12
Fiscal second-quarter 2026 report is still pending on May 12, 2026
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.3
Δ21d
-33.2
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
20
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.2
Δ21d
-1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 26.9 / Value 58.1 / Sentiment 20.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.77B
Beta
-
Shares Out
132.16M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
53.6
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM)
3.86
Rev YoY
-1.8%
EPS YoY
-1711.8%
Gross Margin
+21.2%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$1.29B
Current Ratio
2.17
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data