RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

VRT

VertivC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Bull thesis: sustained data-center capex and network upgrades plus successful margin expansion and execution could validate analyst highs (up to $277) and push shares materially higher within 12 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Data-center capex slowdown or delay
Momentum
21
Value
51
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $202.08 · Bull $277.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
21 · Non-qualifying
Next 2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-10-26 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $329.26
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d -15.2
Value51 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +7.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Earnings surprise screen
21Non-qualifying2026-10-28 bmo
View setup

Vertiv's Q2 release showed strong growth, raised full-year guidance, and cited continued data-center demand, but Q3 consensus only supplies a baseline—not evidence of positive revisions—and the stock fell about 5.7% over Oct 19–23 with no qualifying close-location confirmation.

Screen as of 2026-10-26. Window 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-30.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Pre-earnings setup: 21 / non-qualifying.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Data-center capex slowdown or delay
  • • Execution risk on margin expansion initiatives
  • • Bear thesis: macro-driven capex slowdown, margin compression from cost inflation, or missed execution could retrench valuation toward the low analyst estimates and materially undercut the current market price.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Analyst target revisions / upgrades

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.2
Δ21d
-34.8
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+22.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 20.9 / Value 50.5 / Sentiment 60.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$277.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$202.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$74.81B
Beta
2.08
Shares Out
384.99M
P/E (TTM)
65.6
P/S (TTM)
6.86
P/FCF (TTM)
50.82
Rev YoY
+24.1%
EPS YoY
+52.4%
Gross Margin
+35.7%
Op Margin
+19.8%
Net Debt
$1.34B
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data