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VNET

VNET GroupC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Wholesale IDC is now the primary growth engine: Q2 wholesale revenue increased 29.3%, adjusted EBITDA increased 25.4%, mature wholesale utilization was 92.5%, and orders and committed capacity support further growth. CATL cooperation could extend the infrastructure runway.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.
What can break
A director open-market sale of 60,000 Class A ordinary shares was reported on June 1, 2026. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-03]
Momentum
6
Value
50
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $5.00Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.43
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d -0.1
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +8.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A director open-market sale of 60,000 Class A ordinary shares was reported on June 1, 2026. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-03]
  • • Gross margin fell to 18.2% from 22.5% because of higher depreciation from rapid capacity expansion.
  • • The post-print setup is weaker than the operating headline: trusted coverage reported Q2 revenue and EPS below expectations, while gross margin, operating cash flow, and GAAP net loss deteriorated.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-18

Post-print earnings reset and negative initial reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-5.0
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+8.2
Δ21d
+1.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 6.1 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 75.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.25B
Beta
-0.00
Shares Out
279.56M
P/E (TTM)
481.4
P/S (TTM)
1.85
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-2.85
Rev YoY
+21.3%
EPS YoY
+1108.1%
Gross Margin
+20.5%
Op Margin
+7.2%
Net Debt
$3.15B
Current Ratio
0.97
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data