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VMD

Viemed HealthcareA
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print showed record revenue, record ventilator patients, strong PAP and sleep-resupply growth, and a higher full-year revenue floor. These trends support a constructive operating thesis if growth persists [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.1.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $64–$68 million from $65–$69 million despite higher revenue guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Momentum
5
Value
70
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.50
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d +0.7
Value70 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d +12.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $64–$68 million from $65–$69 million despite higher revenue guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • Cash was $10.7 million and working capital was $6.1 million at quarter-end, warranting monitoring despite modest long-term debt and available credit facilities [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined 4.0% year over year and full-year EBITDA guidance was reduced, indicating margin or mix pressure despite revenue momentum.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

FY2026 guidance delivery after Q2 reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
5
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
-9.6
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
100
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.1
Δ21d
+13.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 5.1 / Value 69.8 / Sentiment 100.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$344.7M
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
38.09M
P/E (TTM)
21.9
P/S (TTM)
1.08
P/FCF (TTM)
51.26
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-12.5%
Gross Margin
+56.9%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$2.45M
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data