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VLY

Valley National BancorpC
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution on NII expansion, stable credit metrics, and multiple re-rating drive shares toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Deposit outflows / higher funding costs
Momentum
43
Value
53
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $13.22 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $11.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $16.89
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +17.2
Value53 · Δ7d -2.7
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -9.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Deposit outflows / higher funding costs
  • • Multiple compression from regional bank risk-off
  • • Deposit outflows, sustained funding-cost pressure, or rising charge-offs lead to multiple compression and downside toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Next quarterly earnings report (assumed)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.2
Δ21d
+9.1
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-3.9
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.4
Δ21d
-18.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.3 / Value 53.5 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$13.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$7.83B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
552.61M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
3.39
P/FCF (TTM)
26.31
Rev YoY
+4.1%
EPS YoY
+30.8%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+24.2%
Net Debt
$3.12B
Current Ratio
0.06
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data