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VISN

Vistance NetworksB
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Ziggo deployment and expanded portfolio could translate into broader operator orders, while an unlevered balance sheet gives Aurora room to invest. Neither release quantifies incremental sales.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Memory-chip pricing and availability may continue to compress Aurora margins; full-year adjusted EBITDA guideposts were reduced by $25 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
44
Value
59
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.00 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.67
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +6.1
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -11.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Memory-chip pricing and availability may continue to compress Aurora margins; full-year adjusted EBITDA guideposts were reduced by $25 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Post-divestiture operating comparability and loosely matched public peers limit valuation confidence.
  • • Q2 sales slipped 1.4% year over year, core adjusted EBITDA fell 43.3%, and memory-chip pressures prompted a $25 million reduction in full-year EBITDA guideposts.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-01

Aurora broadband products and Ziggo deployment

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
-12.1
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.8
Δ21d
-12.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.6 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 61.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.51B
Beta
2.42
Shares Out
230.63M
P/E (TTM)
18.4
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
15.42
Rev YoY
-1.4%
EPS YoY
+1695.3%
Gross Margin
+37.8%
Op Margin
+12.3%
Net Debt
$6.58B
Current Ratio
2.57
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data