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VICR

VicorF
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The revenue beat, 10.3-point sequential gross-margin expansion, $406 million backlog and stated Q4 product-growth expectation support a stronger operating thesis than the April baseline. Vicor also reported $69.7 million in Q3 operating cash flow and $513.1 million in cash [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
New fab sites do not remove near-term capacity or execution risk; initial Fab-2 equipment deployment is expected in Q2 2027. Q3 call transcript.
Momentum
52
Value
44
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $170.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $120.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $390.00
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d -35.5
Value44 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -25.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • New fab sites do not remove near-term capacity or execution risk; initial Fab-2 equipment deployment is expected in Q2 2027. Q3 call transcript.
  • • Q3 operating expense rose to $62.5 million from $48.2 million sequentially, including IP-enforcement contingency fees [#SEC-8K-2026-10-20]. Company release.
  • • Q3 royalty revenue included catch-up amounts, and management warned that licensing income may remain lumpy.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Q3 revenue beat, but royalty quality is the key follow-up

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
52
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-35.5
Δ21d
-45.7
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
36
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.8
Δ21d
+15.1
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 51.5 / Value 44.3 / Sentiment 35.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$9.78B
Beta
1.90
Shares Out
46.11M
P/E (TTM)
73.4
P/S (TTM)
15.05
P/FCF (TTM)
50.81
Rev YoY
+49.3%
EPS YoY
+14.2%
Gross Margin
+56.6%
Op Margin
+18.6%
Net Debt
-$395.63M
Current Ratio
13.25
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data