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VICR

VicorC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source-backed Q1 results materially improved the operating picture: revenue and gross profit grew, backlog jumped sharply, and management tied demand to specific capacity actions, which supports upside if backlog converts cleanly over the next few quarters.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.
What can break
Backlog growth fails to convert into shipments on the expected timetable
Momentum
15
Value
45
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $205.00 · Bull $255.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-04-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $386.25
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -0.7
Value45 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -2.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog growth fails to convert into shipments on the expected timetable
  • • Further litigation or related cash uses weigh on free cash conversion
  • • The same primary filings keep the thesis cautious: customer concentration is still high, delivery schedules can move across quarters, tariff costs remain meaningful, and litigation has already reduced operating cash flow, so a strong quarter does not yet prove durable earnings power.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-21

Q1 2026 results showed a real step-up in revenue, margin, and backlog

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
+20.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 15.2 / Value 44.7 / Sentiment 69.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.69B
Beta
1.90
Shares Out
46.11M
P/E (TTM)
73.4
P/S (TTM)
15.05
P/FCF (TTM)
50.81
Rev YoY
+49.3%
EPS YoY
+14.2%
Gross Margin
+56.6%
Op Margin
+18.6%
Net Debt
-$395.63M
Current Ratio
13.25
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data