B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VIAV
Viavi SolutionsCNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal Q4 revenue rose 52.5% year over year, Network and Service Enablement revenue rose 69.2%, and non-GAAP operating margin reached 24.0%. Fiscal Q1 guidance implies further sequential revenue growth if delivered.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.2.
What can break
Acquisition, integration and restructuring charges could cause GAAP results to diverge materially from non-GAAP guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
64
Value
47
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $61.43
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -17.8
Value47 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +11.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition, integration and restructuring charges could cause GAAP results to diverge materially from non-GAAP guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • Fiscal Q1 revenue or EPS falling short of the company's $450 million–$460 million and $0.40–$0.42 non-GAAP guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • FY2026 still recorded a GAAP net loss despite non-GAAP EPS of $1.00.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Fiscal Q1 guidance delivery
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-17.8
Δ21d
-8.4
Value
47
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.2
Δ21d
+9.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 63.9 / Value 46.7 / Sentiment 63.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.49B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
245.92M
P/E (TTM)
276.0
P/S (TTM)
3.53
P/FCF (TTM)
51.62
Rev YoY
+52.5%
EPS YoY
+256.0%
Gross Margin
+56.2%
Op Margin
+11.0%
Net Debt
$42.1M
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data