B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VHI
ValhiDNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed a substantial earnings recovery, led by Chemicals, with additional improvement in Component Products. Higher sales, lower production costs, and implemented cost initiatives could support positive near-term revisions if sustained.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Higher overall debt and average interest rates increased interest expense by approximately $0.9 million in Q2 and $2.4 million in the first six months year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
13
Value
61
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.80 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $12.70Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher overall debt and average interest rates increased interest expense by approximately $0.9 million in Q2 and $2.4 million in the first six months year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
- • Low coverage, loose peers, and absent social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data reduce confidence in forward signal quality.
- • The improvement remains exposed to lower TiO2 pricing, weaker complementary-business volumes, currency headwinds, higher debt and interest expense, and slowing real-estate development.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
Q2 2026 earnings rebound
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 13.0 / Value 61.0 / Sentiment 53.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$460.22M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
28.32M
P/E (TTM)
19.0
P/S (TTM)
0.17
P/FCF (TTM)
84.70
Rev YoY
+12.2%
EPS YoY
+2376.3%
Gross Margin
+14.7%
Op Margin
+0.5%
Net Debt
$386.1M
Current Ratio
3.37
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data