B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VFC
V.FCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 guidance beat, higher FY27 revenue outlook, growth at major Outdoor brands, and substantial debt reduction support a cautiously constructive turnaround case. The main upside lever is successful Vans wholesale recovery in the second half.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
92
Value
62
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.96
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +5.7
Value62 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
- • Approximately 8% adjusted operating-margin, free-cash-flow, and leverage targets remain execution-sensitive.
- • Vans remains weak, with a 9% constant-currency Q1 decline and a similar expected Q2 decline.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28 · BMO
Q1 FY27 beat and higher revenue outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+57.9
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-2.7
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-27.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 92.4 / Value 61.8 / Sentiment 41.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$6.79B
Beta
1.67
Shares Out
393.14M
P/E (TTM)
83.1
P/S (TTM)
0.77
P/FCF (TTM)
74.23
Rev YoY
-5.3%
EPS YoY
-17.0%
Gross Margin
+55.6%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$4.16B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data