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VFC

V.FA
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q1 guidance beat, higher FY27 revenue outlook, growth at major Outdoor brands, and substantial debt reduction support a cautiously constructive turnaround case. The main upside lever is successful Vans wholesale recovery in the second half.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.0.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
Momentum
13
Value
65
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.71
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +1.9
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +6.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, target changes, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable.
  • • Approximately 8% adjusted operating-margin, free-cash-flow, and leverage targets remain execution-sensitive.
  • • Vans remains weak, with a 9% constant-currency Q1 decline and a similar expected Q2 decline.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-24

Q1 FY27 beat and higher revenue outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+4.3
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+7.1
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
-3.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.4 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 84.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.69B
Beta
1.67
Shares Out
393.14M
P/E (TTM)
83.1
P/S (TTM)
0.77
P/FCF (TTM)
74.23
Rev YoY
-5.3%
EPS YoY
-17.0%
Gross Margin
+55.6%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$4.16B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data