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VAL

ValarisD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 operating performance improved, drillship reactivations are progressing, backlog remains supportive, and the Transocean combination could provide synergies and a valuation catalyst.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Additional drillship startups, backlog conversion, and repair projects may face timing or cost overruns.
Momentum
73
Value
41
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $78.00 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $91.49
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d +10.1
Value41 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -10.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional drillship startups, backlog conversion, and repair projects may face timing or cost overruns.
  • • Analyst target-revision and post-earnings estimate data are unavailable or thin.
  • • Forward visibility is constrained because Valaris will not provide future guidance or hold future earnings calls while the transaction is pending.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

Mixed Q2 earnings follow-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.1
Δ21d
+29.1
Value
41
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.4
Δ21d
-28.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 72.5 / Value 41.2 / Sentiment 43.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$6.76B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
69.44M
P/E (TTM)
9.3
P/S (TTM)
1.50
P/FCF (TTM)
14.52
Rev YoY
-12.4%
EPS YoY
-55.7%
Gross Margin
+17.1%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$552.5M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data