RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

VAL

ValarisD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 operating performance improved, drillship reactivations are progressing, backlog remains supportive, and the Transocean combination could provide synergies and a valuation catalyst.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.1.
What can break
Additional drillship startups, backlog conversion, and repair projects may face timing or cost overruns.
Momentum
56
Value
42
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $78.00 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $88.86
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d +4.1
Value42 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +8.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional drillship startups, backlog conversion, and repair projects may face timing or cost overruns.
  • • Analyst target-revision and post-earnings estimate data are unavailable or thin.
  • • Forward visibility is constrained because Valaris will not provide future guidance or hold future earnings calls while the transaction is pending.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

Mixed Q2 earnings follow-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+2.7
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-13.5
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.1
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 55.5 / Value 42.2 / Sentiment 56.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.05B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
69.44M
P/E (TTM)
9.3
P/S (TTM)
1.50
P/FCF (TTM)
14.52
Rev YoY
-12.4%
EPS YoY
-55.7%
Gross Margin
+17.1%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$552.5M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data