UVV

UniversalD

NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case centers on Universal’s durable tobacco franchise, ample liquidity, and capital returns, with FY27 normalization potential if tobacco inventories return to target and Shank’s efficiency work improves margins.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

What can break

Goodwill impairment and Shank’s weakness could lead to more write-down risk if consumer demand stays weak.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $61.00 · Bear $43.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $74.00

Why

Momentum34 · Δ7d +0.2

Value52 · Δ7d -0.0

Sentiment44 · Δ7d -7.8

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

-10.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.0

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-7.8

Δ21d

-0.6

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 33.7 / Value 52.1 / Sentiment 43.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.32B

Beta

0.65

Shares Out

24.93M

P/E (TTM)

11.9

P/S (TTM)

0.44

P/FCF (TTM)

17.21

Rev YoY

+1.8%

EPS YoY

-565.4%

Gross Margin

+17.4%

Op Margin

+7.8%

Net Debt

$877.64M

Current Ratio

3.49

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology