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UTI

Universal Technical InstituteB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Demand remains strong: Q3 revenue increased 7.2%, average full-time active students increased 5.8%, and new student starts increased 10.9%. New-campus performance supports the view that the skilled-trades expansion strategy is repeatable [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-rating, and social data are unavailable, limiting confirmation of the valuation case.
Momentum
2
Value
44
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.50 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $41.86
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d +0.3
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-rating, and social data are unavailable, limiting confirmation of the valuation case.
  • • High-school Auto and Diesel starts are below plan, creating an enrollment-conversion and staffing execution risk.
  • • Near-term earnings quality is weaker than enrollment growth suggests because strategic investments reduced adjusted EBITDA, fiscal 2026 guidance was revised, and high-school Auto/Diesel starts were below plan.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-09

High-school enrollment conversion check

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-1.1
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-5.0
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-14.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 1.8 / Value 43.5 / Sentiment 85.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.44B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
55.1M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
1.79
P/FCF (TTM)
26.98
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
-78.8%
Gross Margin
+47.9%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$102.99M
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data