B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
UTI
Universal Technical InstituteDNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 revenue rose 7.2% and starts rose 10.9%; Atlanta's initial starts exceeded plan. If enrollment conversion recovers and new-campus investment begins producing operating leverage, the depressed share price could recover [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.8.
What can break
A September analyst downgrade and sharp target reduction raise the risk that the packet's undated target median overstates current Street expectations. Analyst-action report
Momentum
20
Value
45
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $36.86
Why
Momentum20 · Δ7d +14.2
Value45 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -6.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A September analyst downgrade and sharp target reduction raise the risk that the packet's undated target median overstates current Street expectations. Analyst-action report
- • Education funding and school-regulatory requirements could affect operations; the available evidence does not establish a new adverse regulatory action. SEC investor presentation
- • Below-plan high-school Auto and Diesel starts, reduced near-term outlook and investment-led EBITDA pressure may persist into fiscal 2027 [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Fiscal-year results test high-school enrollment conversion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
20
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.2
Δ21d
+18.2
Value
45
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.8
Δ21d
-18.9
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 20.3 / Value 45.4 / Sentiment 52.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.22B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
55.1M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
1.79
P/FCF (TTM)
26.98
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
-78.8%
Gross Margin
+47.9%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$102.99M
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data