B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$107.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
USFD
US FoodsCNYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained price realization and cost savings drive sequential margin expansion; consensus revisions move 12‑month targets toward the high end of published ranges, producing modest upside versus the anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.4.
What can break
Execution shortfall on margin programs
Momentum
82
Value
49
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $107.10 · Bear $79.06Analysis 2026-02-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $119.53
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d +13.5
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +10.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution shortfall on margin programs
- • Leverage/refinancing or covenant pressure
- • Weaker foodservice demand or persistent commodity/labor inflation compresses margins and prompts re‑rating toward analyst lows in the low‑80s.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Analyst consensus revisions (12-month window)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
82
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.5
Δ21d
+7.6
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+10.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 82.0 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 55.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$79.06
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.5B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
216.33M
P/E (TTM)
31.6
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
17.34
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+29.4%
Gross Margin
+17.6%
Op Margin
+3.4%
Net Debt
$5.68B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data