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USAU

US GoldC
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
CK Gold has disclosed proven and probable reserves, secured permits to begin construction, and a March 2026 feasibility study indicating a $632 million after-tax NPV and 1.6 million gold-equivalent ounces. Credible, minimally dilutive financing could materially narrow the development discount.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Approximately $394 million of initial CK Gold capital needs materially exceed the company's roughly $27.1 million July 2026 cash balance.
Momentum
11
Value
34
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.50 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-09-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.33
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -11.3
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately $394 million of initial CK Gold capital needs materially exceed the company's roughly $27.1 million July 2026 cash balance.
  • • Construction was paused pending complete project financing; failure to demonstrate financial capacity before the permit's December 2027 extension deadline could cause major delay.
  • • USAU remains pre-revenue, reported a $4.6 million quarterly net loss, and requires substantial external capital for a project whose initial construction cost is roughly $394 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-16

CK Gold drill-program update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-46.5
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
84
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+6.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 11.4 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 83.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$176.2M
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
16.53M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-9.3
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-8.00
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
-47.0%
Gross Margin
+14.5%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$30.56M
Current Ratio
51.97
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data