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United RentalsB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 adjusted-EPS beat, 17.8% rental-revenue growth, higher fleet productivity and raised revenue and EBITDA outlook support the prior growth thesis. Management attributes confidence to customer backlogs and large projects.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.
What can break
Growth in lower-margin ancillary and re-rent revenue can dilute rental gross-margin gains. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
83
Value
56
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1,100.00 · Bull $1,275.00 · Bear $900.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1,273.30
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +8.8
Value56 · Δ7d -1.2
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Growth in lower-margin ancillary and re-rent revenue can dilute rental gross-margin gains. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • Higher rental capital expenditures could pressure cash conversion despite unchanged free-cash-flow guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • Higher planned fleet spending without an increase to free-cash-flow guidance limits cash-conversion upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Q3 beat and raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+8.8
Δ21d
+19.1
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 83.1 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 56.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$1,275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$1,100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$900.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$68.4B
Beta
1.70
Shares Out
62.24M
P/E (TTM)
22.8
P/S (TTM)
3.57
P/FCF (TTM)
413.39
Rev YoY
+11.8%
EPS YoY
+25.5%
Gross Margin
+35.7%
Op Margin
+25.2%
Net Debt
$15.21B
Current Ratio
0.76
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data