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UL

UnileverD
NYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
H1 volume-led growth, 20.3% underlying operating margin and stronger Power Brands support the possibility that pricing and productivity sustain 2026 growth while the Foods separation improves portfolio focus. [#IR-2026-07-28] Unilever H1 results
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Commodity inflation and consumer volume sensitivity as Unilever raises prices in the second half. Unilever H1 results
Momentum
60
Value
49
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $74.50
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -10.3
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -2.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity inflation and consumer volume sensitivity as Unilever raises prices in the second half. Unilever H1 results
  • • Execution risk in eliminating €400–500 million of expected stranded costs after separation. Unilever Q1 release
  • • Price increases may dampen volume amid elevated commodity costs; Foods growth slowed to 0.2% in Q2, and the proposed transaction faces approvals, potential delay and stranded-cost execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Q3 trading statement tests the shift from volume to pricing

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
+6.1
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-18.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 59.9 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 50.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$140.22B
Beta
0.52
Shares Out
2.15B
P/E (TTM)
21.4
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
58.25
Rev YoY
-3.2%
EPS YoY
-3.7%
Gross Margin
+11.1%
Op Margin
+20.3%
Net Debt
$26.47B
Current Ratio
0.74
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data