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UHAL

U-HaulC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher moving transactions, dealer productivity and storage rent-up could improve utilization and earnings leverage; Q1 revenue growth provides some evidence of demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.7.
What can break
Higher fleet depreciation, maintenance and real-estate depreciation could offset rental and storage revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
26
Value
46
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $46.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $87.67
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -2.3
Value46 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +3.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher fleet depreciation, maintenance and real-estate depreciation could offset rental and storage revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Moving and Storage cash and credit availability declined during fiscal Q1, creating a capital-allocation trade-off between investment and repurchases. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Q1 earnings and adjusted EBITDA fell despite revenue growth, storage occupancy declined, and fleet and property costs rose.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Fiscal Q1 revenue growth did not translate into earnings growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-7.9
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 26.4 / Value 46.4 / Sentiment 60.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.74B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
194.39M
P/E (TTM)
44.7
P/S (TTM)
1.62
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.74
Rev YoY
+3.2%
EPS YoY
-14.4%
Gross Margin
+8.8%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$7B
Current Ratio
1.74
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data