UGP
Ultrapar ParticipacoesBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The most supportive external signal available remains the company's own analyst-coverage page, which showed 8 Buy, 5 Neutral, and 0 Sell ratings, with target-price consensus updated on April 27, 2026 and several bank targets refreshed in late April, indicating constructive but not euphoric sell-side positioning [#IR-COVERAGE-2026-04-27].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -21.2.
What can break
Execution risk on the R$2.6 billion 2026 investment plan, including whether expansion spending earns acceptable returns rather than diluting free-cash conversion.
Momentum
66
Value
66
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $6.80 · Bear $4.70
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.51
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d -21.2
Value66 · Δ7d +1.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +15.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
66
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.2
Δ21d
-19.3
Value
66
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
53
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.5
Δ21d
+25.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 66.0 / Value 66.0 / Sentiment 53.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$5.52B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
1.07B
P/E (TTM)
7.9
P/S (TTM)
0.17
P/FCF (TTM)
10.12
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
+8.8%
Gross Margin
+7.2%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$2.08B
Current Ratio
1.83
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology