B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
UAL
United AirlinesANasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, raised FY2026 EPS guidance, strong yields and broad revenue growth support a positive operating thesis. The bull case requires management to recover most incremental fuel costs while sustaining premium, loyalty, cargo and contracted-business growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
Analyst target count, estimate revisions and options data are unavailable.
Momentum
26
Value
64
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $125.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $90.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $162.11
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +6.0
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target count, estimate revisions and options data are unavailable.
- • Execution risk around Q3 TRASM growth, fuel-cost pass-through and international demand.
- • Fuel expense was up sharply, operating expenses grew faster than revenue, and adjusted operating margin contracted.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-15
Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
-50.1
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.6
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
+5.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 26.5 / Value 63.7 / Sentiment 79.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$39.68B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
324.58M
P/E (TTM)
11.5
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
10.03
Rev YoY
+16.0%
EPS YoY
-17.1%
Gross Margin
+26.9%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$18.8B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data