B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
UAA
Under ArmourDNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Expense discipline could preserve FY27 adjusted operating income despite weaker sales, while lower discounting and a sharper assortment could eventually improve underlying margins.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
What can break
Approximately 150 basis points of expected FY27 gross-margin expansion reflects first-quarter recovery of prior-year tariff costs; supply-chain and foreign-exchange headwinds could pressure the remaining margin bridge. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Momentum
22
Value
37
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.70 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $3.10Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.96
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -4.3
Value37 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Approximately 150 basis points of expected FY27 gross-margin expansion reflects first-quarter recovery of prior-year tariff costs; supply-chain and foreign-exchange headwinds could pressure the remaining margin bridge. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
- • FY27 revenue guidance was reduced to a mid-single-digit decline as North America and Asia-Pacific demand softened. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
- • The revenue-outlook cut, North American decline and e-commerce weakness leave the brand turnaround unproven.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-15
Next results test the quality of the margin bridge
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
37
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-7.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 22.3 / Value 36.8 / Sentiment 54.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.99B
Beta
1.83
Shares Out
429.55M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
0.44
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-26.10
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-121.3%
Gross Margin
+46.4%
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
$1.02B
Current Ratio
1.81
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data