B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
UAA
Under ArmourCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Maintained adjusted operating-income expectations, lower inventory, international growth, and transformation initiatives could support stabilization and a recovery toward the packet's $6.0676 target summary.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
What can break
Footwear and e-commerce declines could constrain brand momentum and inventory productivity.
Momentum
6
Value
37
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.75 · Bull $7.00 · Bear $4.25Analysis 2026-08-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.07
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +0.2
Value37 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Footwear and e-commerce declines could constrain brand momentum and inventory productivity.
- • Further consumer-demand deterioration, especially in North America or Asia-Pacific.
- • The revenue outlook reduction, soft North American and Asia-Pacific demand, weak e-commerce, footwear pressure, and pricing/mix headwinds indicate that topline recovery is not yet established.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-10
Next quarterly operating readout
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Value
37
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-5.0
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+2.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 6.3 / Value 37.0 / Sentiment 79.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.25B
Beta
1.83
Shares Out
429.55M
P/E (TTM)
19.6
P/S (TTM)
0.44
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-29.60
Rev YoY
-3.3%
EPS YoY
-121.3%
Gross Margin
+46.4%
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
$1.02B
Current Ratio
1.81
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data