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TYGO

Tigo EnergyB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue still grew 5.6% year over year, inventory declined to $20.6 million, cash was $16.9 million, and GO ESS began contributing. Q4 domestic inverter shipments, regulatory tailwinds, and eventual European recovery could restore growth [#8-K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Delayed U.S. optimized-inverter launch could defer the principal near-term growth catalyst.
Momentum
22
Value
34
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.20 · Bull $2.20 · Bear $0.70Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.83
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Delayed U.S. optimized-inverter launch could defer the principal near-term growth catalyst.
  • • Gross-margin and profitability recovery remain unproven; Q2 GAAP net income included a $3.2 million discrete tax benefit.
  • • The quarter missed prior guidance, gross margin fell to 39.3% from 44.7%, adjusted EBITDA fell to $52 thousand from $1.1 million, and management lowered FY26 revenue expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 miss and FY26 guidance reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-8.2
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 21.8 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 88.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$89.83M
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
76.77M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-40.5
P/S (TTM)
1.25
P/FCF (TTM)
12.25
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-138.0%
Gross Margin
+42.4%
Op Margin
-2.8%
Net Debt
-$5M
Current Ratio
3.04
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data