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TYGO

Tigo EnergyF
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Inventory fell to $20.6 million from $31.3 million at 2025 year-end, and cash was $16.9 million at Q2-end. A timely inverter launch and improving GO Battery sales could lift revenue from the reduced outlook #SEC-8K-2026-08-04.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Further partner delays could prevent the planned Q4 optimized-inverter volume ramp #SEC-8K-2026-08-04.
Momentum
22
Value
34
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.90 · Bull $1.40 · Bear $0.50Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.33
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Further partner delays could prevent the planned Q4 optimized-inverter volume ramp #SEC-8K-2026-08-04.
  • • Low market capitalization and limited analyst coverage amplify financing, liquidity, and forecast risk.
  • • Q2 revenue of $25.4 million missed Tigo's prior $30 million–$32 million guide, gross margin fell to 39.3% from 44.7% a year earlier, and full-year revenue guidance fell from $130 million–$135 million to $100 million–$110 million #SEC-8K-2026-05-05 #SEC-8K-2026-08-04.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-23

Q3 results test reduced guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 21.8 / Value 34.1 / Sentiment 53.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$73.4M
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
76.77M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-33.1
P/S (TTM)
1.25
P/FCF (TTM)
12.25
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
-138.0%
Gross Margin
+42.4%
Op Margin
-2.8%
Net Debt
-$5M
Current Ratio
3.04
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data