B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$335.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TXN
Texas InstrumentsBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 exceeded the packet's pre-print Zacks consensus by about $0.15 billion of revenue and $0.23 of EPS, while TI reported broad industrial, automotive and data-center growth. Stronger factory utilization and cash generation could support upside if Q4 guidance is delivered.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Industrial, automotive and data-center growth may normalize after the strong Q3 comparison. TI prepared remarks
Momentum
83
Value
52
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $300.00 · Bull $335.00 · Bear $235.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $335.35
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +1.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +34.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • News driver: AI rebound opens as a credit-and-earnings test.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +34.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Industrial, automotive and data-center growth may normalize after the strong Q3 comparison. TI prepared remarks
- • Q4 revenue guidance midpoint of $6.05 billion is approximately flat with Q3's $6.055 billion; margin durability requires confirmation. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • The anchor already followed substantial pre-earnings appreciation, Q4 guidance allows sequential revenue moderation, and durable demand and margin conversion are not yet proven.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-23
Q3 beat and immediate post-print reassessment
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+9.9
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+34.6
Δ21d
+35.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 82.8 / Value 52.0 / Sentiment 58.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$259.99B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
913.25M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
9.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
1096.65
Rev YoY
+22.8%
EPS YoY
+51.5%
Gross Margin
+58.3%
Op Margin
+38.1%
Net Debt
$9.9B
Current Ratio
4.86
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data