B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TXN
Texas InstrumentsDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: stronger-than-expected industrial and automotive demand, continued margin expansion from product mix, and positive analyst revisions driving re-rating toward the high end of the consensus range.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Accelerated competitive pricing or share loss
Momentum
49
Value
54
Sentiment
39
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $198.00 · Bull $260.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-01-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $333.62
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -5.8
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment39 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Accelerated competitive pricing or share loss
- • Cyclical industrial and automotive demand slowdown
- • Bear case: prolonged end-market weakness or inventory destocking leads to revenue/margin downside and multiple compression toward the low end of analyst targets.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-28
Next quarterly earnings release (estimated)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.8
Δ21d
+18.3
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+5.2
Sentiment
39
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+7.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 49.4 / Value 53.9 / Sentiment 38.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$198.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$258.37B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
913.25M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
9.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
1089.79
Rev YoY
+22.8%
EPS YoY
+51.5%
Gross Margin
+58.3%
Op Margin
+38.1%
Net Debt
$9.9B
Current Ratio
4.86
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data