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TWI

Titan InternationalD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
$5.10-$0.05 (-0.97%)
At close · 2026-11-13
View Chart
Current thesis
Q3 revenue of $454 million and adjusted EBITDA of $28 million inclusive of discontinued ITM operations met management's prior Q3 ranges. EMC sales rose 5%, Q3 free cash flow was $23 million, and an ITM closing could permit debt reduction [#SEC-8K-2026-10-29].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Continuing-operations results and figures inclusive of discontinued ITM operations are not directly comparable; headline revenue-consensus comparisons require care.
Momentum
8
Value
52
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.20 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $3.30Analysis 2026-11-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-13 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-13 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-13

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-13. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.25
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -3.4
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -4.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continuing-operations results and figures inclusive of discontinued ITM operations are not directly comparable; headline revenue-consensus comparisons require care.
  • • FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was cut to $91 million–$101 million from $105 million–$115 million [#SEC-8K-2026-10-29] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
  • • The favorable Q3 comparison does not offset the FY EBITDA guidance cut, 12% Agricultural sales decline, and continuing-operations gross-margin decline to 14.7% from 15.7%.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Q4 profitability against reduced guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
8
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-27.1
Value
52
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
-15.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 7.7 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 54.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$3.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-13
Market Cap
$329.49M
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
64.61M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.1
P/S (TTM)
0.29
P/FCF (TTM)
6.80
Rev YoY
+5.2%
EPS YoY
-225.4%
Gross Margin
+14.0%
Op Margin
+1.3%
Net Debt
$511.46M
Current Ratio
2.11
As of 2026-11-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data